Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.217847 0.252436 0.290734 0.336285 0.388998 0.448098 0.519419
2025-08-03 0.162781 0.208823 0.265152 0.339159 0.433903 0.551247 0.707838
2025-08-10 0.130744 0.179932 0.244405 0.335144 0.459715 0.624998 0.861478
2025-08-17 0.106822 0.155677 0.223411 0.324246 0.470796 0.676481 0.988007
2025-08-24 0.094439 0.144635 0.217701 0.331902 0.506292 0.763278 1.172230
2025-08-31 0.083174 0.133161 0.209160 0.333233 0.531265 0.836101 1.343153
2025-09-07 0.074819 0.124735 0.203696 0.337836 0.560759 0.917850 1.536336
2025-09-14 0.065644 0.113611 0.192326 0.331057 0.570383 0.968132 1.683318
2025-09-21 0.058699 0.105210 0.184202 0.328296 0.585719 1.028556 1.853233
2025-09-28 0.053752 0.099580 0.179971 0.331463 0.611183 1.108300 2.065240
2025-10-05 0.051438 0.098334 0.183168 0.348055 0.662220 1.238114 2.382218
2025-10-12 0.048597 0.095723 0.183512 0.359241 0.704238 1.355592 2.689114
2025-10-19 0.045757 0.092864 0.183223 0.369504 0.746318 1.479045 3.024955
2025-10-26 0.042340 0.088463 0.179491 0.372604 0.774772 1.579571 3.327982
2025-11-02 0.038525 0.082770 0.172508 0.368193 0.787264 1.649323 3.575542
2025-11-09 0.034427 0.075977 0.162494 0.356217 0.782394 1.682640 3.749414
2025-11-16 0.032623 0.073898 0.162066 0.364630 0.822061 1.813568 4.150608
2025-11-23 0.030400 0.070620 0.158680 0.366092 0.846460 1.913968 4.495078
2025-11-30 0.028670 0.068248 0.157001 0.371151 0.879433 2.036630 4.904641
2025-12-07 0.026194 0.063846 0.150261 0.363701 0.882473 2.091555 5.160838
2025-12-14 0.024261 0.060514 0.145618 0.360667 0.895596 2.171153 5.485783
2025-12-21 0.022914 0.058456 0.143754 0.364147 0.924922 2.292313 5.927752
2025-12-28 0.022536 0.058777 0.147656 0.382381 0.993039 2.515080 6.653559